The Details Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets Friday January 24, 2020, 3:00 PM (EST) Accorhotels Arena, Paris, France The Numbers Sometimes in the NBA you get a mismatch so big there’s not much you can do but shut your eye, lay the points, and keep your fingers crossed that you don’t run into an outlier […]

The Details Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers Thursday January 23, 2020, 10:30 PM (EST) Moda Center, Portland, Oregon The Numbers Of all teams, the Portland Trail Blazers currently rank as the 5th worst defense vs the PG position – giving up an average of 25 points, 2.9 3P, and 8.9 assists – all of […]

The Details Los Angeles Lakers at New York Knicks Wednesday January 22, 2020, 7:30 PM (EST) Madison Square Garden, New York, NY The Numbers Coming off an ugly loss to the Boston Celtics, today the Los Angeles Lakers will get to take their frustrations out on a New York Knicks teams that’s had more than […]

The NFL Conference Championship games are over and each was a win for the favorites, setting up a great matchup for Super Bowl 54 in Miami (February 2nd). Kansas City (-7) stormed back from an early 10-0 deficit to beat Tennessee 35-24. In the second game, San Francisco (-7.5) ran all over Green Bay, figurately […]

The Details Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics Monday January 20, 2020, 7:30 PM (EST) TD Garden, Boston, MA Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz Monday January 20, 2020, 9:00 PM (EST) Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah The Numbers As regular consumers of my betting content know, I generally try to stay away […]

The Details Sunday January 19, 2020, 6:40 PM EST Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara County, California The Numbers From an analytics perspective, there’s a lot to like about the San Francisco 49ers this weekend as they face off against the Green Bay Packers. Not only did SF rank as the 5th highest offense in the NFL […]

The Kansas City Chiefs are the only team to return to NFL Conference Championship Weekend. They will host the upstart Tennessee Titans in the AFC while the San Francisco 49ers welcome the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers in the NFC. We have a quick preview of each game and you can see the Super […]

The Details Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks Thursday, January 16, 2020, 8:00 PM (EST) Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI The Numbers Today the Milwaukee Bucks have quite a lot going for them from an analytics perspective in their matchup against the Boston Celtics. First off, they’ll be facing a Celtics team who is playing their second […]

Contrary to what social media touts will have you believe, there’s not a ‘MAX UNIT BOMB’ play available every single day in the world of sports betting. Some days, like today in my opinion, even though there’s a full slate of games on the schedule, the lines seem particularly tight and the edges extremely thin. […]

Today the Miami Heat is part of a first-half (1H) dataset looking at conference favorites taking on playoff teams that have covered 56% of the time over the past 5 years, including 17-10 so far this season, good for 22% ROI. On the season the Heat rank as the 4th most efficient 1H team in […]

First Quarter: Philadelphia comes into this game ranked as the 3rd best first-quarter home team putting up an average of 30.2 points per game in the first period. Meanwhile, Boston ranks near the bottom of the league, sitting at 23rd in first-quarter road-game scoring at just 25.8 points per game. With that said, 76ers center […]

In yesterday’s column I spoke about the obvious teaser, taking the two biggest favorites – Baltimore and Kansas City – and teasing them down to the key number of 3. However, as I mentioned in that article, Vegas is not in the habit of giving the public layups and, more often than not, if the […]

Some days in sportsbetting, you can find lines so good it seems suspicious. More often than not in these situations, you eventually find yourself ripping up a losing ticket wondering how Vegas always ‘knows’. And yet, if your analysis indicates there is value on said line, it can be tough to let the spot go. […]

Today three NBA teams – Denver, Chicago, and Milwaukee – fall under a defensive-efficiency dataset focused on non-conference away games that has covered the spread 56% of the time over the past 5 years, good for a 10% ROI. But perhaps more impressively, when used as part of a 5-point teaser, the dataset’s cover-rate skyrockets […]

Portland Trailblazers at Washington Wizards In a trend that’s somewhat counter-intuitive, rested home teams (2+ days off) that have hit the over in at least 60% of their games, have gone 397-272-9 (59%) in favor of the UNDER when their game sees a line-movement to the downside. This trend is in play tonight in the […]