Two Teaser-Friendly Week 10 NFL Matchups
Although optimal teaser strategy generally dictates using favorites that are giving up between 7.5 and 9 points, there are a couple of interesting spots on the schedule this week that provide us with an opportunity to reduce a two-score spread to one that’s below a touchdown. Here are two of my favorite such spots for week 10 of the NFL season.
1. Baltimore Ravens: AJ Green or not, the team that just handled the mighty New England Patriots with relative ease now gets to face a Bengals team that needed a miraculous final-minute TD to cover the spread three weeks ago when these two teams last met. Oh, and did I mention they’ll be facing a rookie quarterback making his first career start? Ya, that’s going to be a no from me, dawg.
And while there is likely still value on taking the Ravens spread straight up, teasing it down 5.5 points to bring the line to under a touchdown seems about as good of a spot as exists on the schedule this week.
2. Indianapolis Colts: While the Ravens get the teaser nod due to being in a situation where it’s tough to imagine them winning by less than a touchdown, the injury-depleted Colts get it as more of a precaution, with star wide-receiver TY Hilton already ruled out and starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett looking at a game-time decision after spraining his knee last game. Still, the Colts get to face a Miami Dolphins team coming off an emotional high after securing their first win of the season last week against a painfully bad NY Jets team. In fact, week 9 not withstanding, the Dolphins have looked downright awful for the vast majority of the season, getting outscored by an average of 19.1 points per game, good for dead last in the NFL. And while playing without Brissett will be a letdown for the Colts, they do have one of the NFL’s most serviceable backups in Brian Hoyer, who came in off the bench last week to throw for 3 touchdowns and 1 interception in a game Indianapolis should have won had the greatest kicker in NFL history not botched a fairly routine 43 yarder at the buzzer. Still, with the Dolphins looking much better with Ryan Fitzmagic under centre, and the injuries taking their toll on the Colts, teasing the spread to under a touchdown seems like a valid insurance-policy in this one.
That’s it for me this week, bet safe and best of luck out there!
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